Why Smart People Keep Getting AI Wrong

Twenty years ago, climate denial was a problem of the right. Today, AI denial is a problem of the left. And the consequences could be even more disastrous.

I don’t say this often, but I think this is the most important thing I’ve published in quite some time. I think we're sleepwalking through the most important shift of our lifetimes, and the people who should be sounding the alarm are in denial.

CHAPTERS

3:28 Chapter 1: The Denial

8:24 Chapter 2: The Largest Infrastructure Buildout In History

16:00 Chapter 3: The Risks

24:40 Chapter 4: What We Do About It

31:50 Chapter 5: Where We Go From Here

KEY SOURCES & FURTHER READING:
→ AI Digest: "A new Moore's Law for AI agents", great explainer about the doubling curve at the centre of this video: https://theaidigest.org/time-horizons
→ Rob Wiblin, "The story behind the bad AI stat that moved markets and misled millions," 80,000 Hours: https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/ai-workplace-mit-study
→ Rogé Karma, "So, About That AI Bubble", The Atlantic: https://www.theatlantic.com/economy/2026/05/ai-bubble-revenue-anthropic/687022/
→ Gabriel J.X. Dance, "A.I. Bots Told Scientists How to Make Biological Weapons", The New York Times: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/29/us/ai-chatbots-biological-weapons.html
→ Luke Drago & Rudolf Laine, "The Intelligence Curse": https://intelligence-curse.ai/
→ Daniel Kokotajlo and others., "AI 2027,": https://ai-2027.com (see also the impressive YT-video based on this scenario: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5KVDDfAkRgc)
→ Simon Grimm, "Building liberal compute": very good blog, https://simongrimm.substack.com/p/building-liberal-compute
→ John Maynard Keynes, "Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren" (1930): http://www.econ.yale.edu/smith/econ116a/keynes1.pdf
→ Aaron Bastani, Fully Automated Luxury Communism (2019), one of the few books by a left-wing author who does dare to dream about how advanced technology can make our world much, much better.

MY BOOK & ORGANIZATION:
→ Moral Ambition: https://rutgerbregman.com/books/moral-ambition
→ The School for Moral Ambition: https://www.moralambition.org

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