By Justin Akers
May 31, 2015
Forget the media. Forget the essay. Forget O’Malley. Forget Inevita-Billary (Inevita-Billary: the peculiar condition that repeatedly causes millions of people to falsely believe that Hillary and Bill Clinton are an inevitability).
Bernie’s gonna win this thing.
It’s an undeniable fact of recent history that several long shot candidates have won the Democratic primaries. Jimmy Carter, Michael Dukakis, Bill Clinton, and Barack Obama were all long shots. Bernie Sanders will win in 2016 and add his name to that list.
The media is clueless about who’s going to win. They don’t have the slightest idea. The pundits recite their mantra (Bernie can’t win, Bernie can’t win, Bernie can’t win) over and over again, ad nauseam, because they don’t know what else to say at this point. They have a narrative and they’re sticking to it. They won’t change their narrative until the world outside their cubicle, in the form of a political revolution, kicks them in their collective ass and forces them to snap out of their Hillary-induced trance.
No one, other than the media, is concerned about the essay Bernie wrote 43 years ago. We’re not concerned because we’re intelligent enough to discern that the essay is nothing more than a harmless, eccentric memento from Bernie’s youth. The essay is irrelevant. We’ve already moved on.
We’re not worried that Martin O’Malley has entered the race. He’s the dashing, tough-on-crime, former Mayor of Baltimore. Whatever he did in Baltimore didn’t work.
Apparently O’Malley has been dabbling in populism, but he isn’t exactly going to ignite a revolution. He’s not angry. He’s not raging against anything. He doesn’t inspire passion. He’s got upper-level management written all over him.
How is Bernie going to win this thing?
First he’ll win in Iowa.
Hillary hates Iowa. Iowa doesn’t much care for Hillary either. She finished third there in 2008. She’ll probably finish third there in 2016. Obama’s victory in Iowa in 2008 signaled the beginning of the end for Hillary. When Bernie wins Iowa in 2016, it will send the same signal all over again: Hillary is toast.
After Bernie wins in Iowa, he’ll win in New Hampshire, where he is already gaining ground.
With wins in Iowa and New Hampshire, Bernie’s campaign will become a revolutionary juggernaut that will steamroll him and his movement all the way into the White House. The Democrat Party and it’s superdelegates aren’t going to stop him. The superdelegates will get behind him once it’s clear that he’s winning in the state primaries. The Democratic Party may be a corporate party, but the Party and its superdelegates aren’t going to thwart the nomination of the rightful winner unless they want to destroy the Party and its credibility for the foreseeable future.
The Republicans don’t have a strong enough candidate to win in the general election against Bernie and his movement. Unless the Republican Party finds a way to re-animate Reagan’s corpse, they don’t stand a chance.
The mechanics of a Bernie Sanders victory in ‘16 are as simple and straightforward as the mechanics of Carter’s victory in ‘76, as Dukakis’s in ’88, as Clinton’s in ’92, as Obama’s in ‘08. These things just happen sometimes. Things don’t always work out according to the media’s plan. Things don’t always work out according to Hillary’s plan, for that matter.
History just has a way of surprising the hell out of Hillary and the media sometimes.